SciRisk Calculate your ESCRC
As of 2026-06-30| Model v5.4.2| Priors 2026.09-5| Calculated 2026-09-21| 100,000 paths · 95% · 365d| BETA Methodology

SciRisk 100 · sectors

Sector analysis

12 sectors across 100 companies. Every aggregate is computed from the constituent companies' engine results.

SectorCompanies Aggregate ESCRCUSD m AverageUSD m MedianUSD m Median intensity% Largest ESCRCHighest intensity
Automotive 10 2242.7 224.3 130.4 0.083 Toyota Motor $861.3m Toyota Motor 0.314%
Technology Hardware 10 1963.1 196.3 83.9 0.133 Apple $856.3m HP 0.244%
Semiconductors 10 1639.0 163.9 108.1 0.139 NVIDIA $577.3m Broadcom 0.469%
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology 10 1288.8 128.9 117.5 0.202 Pfizer $284.9m Pfizer 0.491%
Retail & Distribution 8 889.3 111.2 48.5 0.038 Amazon $349.3m IKEA (Ingka Group) 0.070%
Aerospace & Defence 7 416.4 59.5 49.0 0.079 Boeing $130.2m Boeing 0.167%
Energy & Utilities 7 404.0 57.7 58.5 0.031 ExxonMobil $93.7m Enel 0.033%
Food & Beverage 8 367.9 46.0 41.1 0.071 Nestlé $75.4m JBS 0.099%
Consumer Goods 8 241.4 30.2 28.5 0.055 Nike $63.2m Nike 0.124%
Healthcare Equipment 8 137.5 17.2 12.8 0.044 Thermo Fisher Scientific $43.7m Thermo Fisher Scientific 0.102%
Industrial Machinery 7 124.1 17.7 15.9 0.037 Siemens $27.0m Komatsu 0.064%
Chemicals 7 96.6 13.8 9.3 0.040 BASF $27.8m LyondellBasell 0.049%

Aggregate ESCRC is the sum of independently-calculated company-level ESCRC estimates. It should not be interpreted as unique system-wide (or sector-wide) supply-chain risk capital: company supply-chain exposures overlap — many suppliers in this dataset appear in more than one company's network — and the model does not net out or de-duplicate that overlap when figures are summed.

Median Risk Capital Intensity by sector

Aggregate ESCRC follows sector revenue; median intensity does not. The two orderings differ, which is the case for treating intensity as a separate measure.

Your sector is only half the answer

Sector explains a great deal of supply-chain risk capital — the spread of median intensity across these 12 sectors runs from 0.031% to 0.202% — but supplier concentration and geography move companies a long way within it. Run your own network to find out where you sit.

ESCRC calculated using SciRisk ESCRC Model v5.4.2 · calibrated priors 2026.09-5
Company data as of 2026-06-30 · ESCRC calculated 2026-09-21 · dataset 2026.09-23 Beta
Simulation
100,000 Monte Carlo paths · 95% confidence · 365-day horizon
Seed
20260821 · regional correlation ρ = 0.35
SciRisk ESCRC is an analytical estimate generated using the SciRisk Economic Supply Chain Risk Capital methodology. It is not a credit rating, investment recommendation or statement of financial condition. Figures are model-implied and intended for screening and comparison, not as calibrated capital requirements.

Beta / preliminary dataset. Company inputs are analyst-curated from public annual reports and public supply-chain disclosure. ESCRC itself is computed by the production ESCRC engine — only the INPUTS on this page are preliminary.