Global Supply Chain Risk Capital Index
SCIRISK 100™
100 of the world's leading companies, ranked by the economic capital their supply chains put at risk.
Which companies require the most economic capital to absorb supply-chain disruption?
Index leaders
Absolute exposure and exposure relative to scale are different questions — and produce different lists. 6 companies appear in both.
By ESCRC — absolute economic exposure
| # | Company | ESCRCUSD m | Intensity% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toyota MotorJapan · SC5 | 861.3 | 0.314 |
| 2 | AppleUSA · SC5 | 856.3 | 0.224 |
| 3 | NVIDIAUSA · SC5 | 577.3 | 0.444 |
| 4 | AmazonUSA · SC2 | 349.3 | 0.055 |
| 5 | HPUSA · SC5 | 309.9 | 0.244 |
| 6 | PfizerUSA · SC5 | 284.9 | 0.491 |
| 7 | Hon Hai Precision (Foxconn)Taiwan · SC4 | 282.7 | 0.132 |
| 8 | Volkswagen GroupGermany · SC3 | 275.2 | 0.079 |
| 9 | Samsung ElectronicsSouth Korea · SC3 | 269.5 | 0.090 |
| 10 | BroadcomUSA · SC5 | 242.0 | 0.469 |
By ESCRC / revenue — risk relative to scale
| # | Company | Intensity% | ESCRCUSD m |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PfizerUSA · SC5 | 0.491 | 284.9 |
| 2 | BroadcomUSA · SC5 | 0.469 | 242.0 |
| 3 | NVIDIAUSA · SC5 | 0.444 | 577.3 |
| 4 | QualcommUSA · SC5 | 0.407 | 158.6 |
| 5 | Toyota MotorJapan · SC5 | 0.314 | 861.3 |
| 6 | Eli LillyUSA · SC5 | 0.259 | 116.3 |
| 7 | NovartisSwitzerland · SC5 | 0.258 | 116.3 |
| 8 | HPUSA · SC5 | 0.244 | 309.9 |
| 9 | AppleUSA · SC5 | 0.224 | 856.3 |
| 10 | AstraZenecaUnited Kingdom · SC5 | 0.220 | 118.9 |
Toyota Motor carries the largest absolute ESCRC in the index at $861.3m; Pfizer carries the most risk capital per dollar of revenue at 0.491%.
Aggregate ESCRC is the sum of independently-calculated company-level ESCRC estimates. It should not be interpreted as unique system-wide (or sector-wide) supply-chain risk capital: company supply-chain exposures overlap — many suppliers in this dataset appear in more than one company's network — and the model does not net out or de-duplicate that overlap when figures are summed.
Risk landscape
Revenue against ESCRC, both on log scales. Dashed lines mark constant Risk Capital Intensity — companies on the same line carry the same risk capital per dollar of revenue, whatever their size.
Company size is not supply-chain risk intensity: the largest company in the index by revenue (Walmart, $648bn) ranks #83 of 100 on intensity, while Pfizer ranks #1 on $58bn.
What the index measures
Economic Supply Chain Risk Capital (ESCRC) is the loss a company should be prepared to absorb in a bad year because its suppliers stop supplying. It is produced by simulating disruption events across the company's supplier network — arrival rates, recovery times, and the fraction of daily revenue each relationship puts at risk — and reading the 95% tail of 100,000 simulated years.
Every number in this index comes from the same production engine behind the public ESCRC Calculator. One implementation, one set of results.
Grade distribution
Graded on Risk Capital Intensity, not on absolute ESCRC — a grade that mostly restated revenue would carry no information. Preliminary SciRisk 100 classification — methodology subject to validation.
Risk Capital Intensity by sector
Median ESCRC as a share of revenue. Sector aggregates are computed from the constituent companies' engine results.
Where would your company sit?
The SciRisk 100 covers 100 companies. Yours is almost certainly not one of them. Model your own supplier network on the same production engine and read the same figure the index publishes.
Company data as of 2026-06-30 · ESCRC calculated 2026-09-21 · dataset 2026.09-23 Beta
- Simulation
- 100,000 Monte Carlo paths · 95% confidence · 365-day horizon
- Seed
- 20260821 · regional correlation ρ = 0.35
Beta / preliminary dataset. Company inputs are analyst-curated from public annual reports and public supply-chain disclosure. ESCRC itself is computed by the production ESCRC engine — only the INPUTS on this page are preliminary.