Retail & Distribution

8 companies in the SciRisk 100. Median Risk Capital Intensity 0.038% — below the index median of 0.075%.

Companies

Aggregate ESCRC

$889.3m

Average ESCRC

$111.2m

Median ESCRC

$48.5m

Median intensity

0.038%

Sector revenue

$2tn

Aggregate ESCRC is the sum of independently-calculated company-level ESCRC estimates. It should not be interpreted as unique system-wide (or sector-wide) supply-chain risk capital: company supply-chain exposures overlap — many suppliers in this dataset appear in more than one company's network — and the model does not net out or de-duplicate that overlap when figures are summed.

ESCRC is the 95% one-year Value-at-Risk of supply-chain disruption loss, from SciRisk ESCRC Model v5.4.2. Bars are scaled to the index maximum. Change is ESCRC versus the 2026.09-22 publication (2026-09-19); a dash means the company is new to the index since then.
Rank	Company	Ticker	Country	Sector	RevenueUSD bn	ESCRCUSD m	ESCRC / Revenue%	Risk Grade	Change
4	Amazon	AMZN	USA	Retail & Distribution	638.0	349.3	0.055	SC2 Low	▲ +7.6%
11	Walmart	WMT	USA	Retail & Distribution	648.0	238.6	0.037	SC1 Very Low	▲ +27.3%
28	Costco Wholesale	COST	USA	Retail & Distribution	254.0	101.6	0.040	SC1 Very Low	▲ +36.0%
50	The Home Depot	HD	USA	Retail & Distribution	152.0	52.6	0.035	SC1 Very Low	▲ +12.8%
57	Target	TGT	USA	Retail & Distribution	107.0	44.3	0.041	SC1 Very Low	▲ +40.0%
60	Alibaba Group	BABA	China	Retail & Distribution	130.0	37.6	0.029	SC1 Very Low	▲ +8.7%
63	IKEA (Ingka Group)	PRIVATE	Netherlands	Retail & Distribution	47.0	33.1	0.070	SC3 Moderate	▲ +78.4%
64	Carrefour	CA.PA	France	Retail & Distribution	87.0	32.2	0.037	SC1 Very Low	▲ +46.4%

Risk Capital Intensity

Ranked by intensity rather than by ESCRC — a different ordering from the table above, which is the point of tracking both.

0.070%

0.055%

0.041%

0.040%

0.037%

0.037%

0.035%

0.029%

How does your supply chain compare with Retail & Distribution?

The median company in this sector carries risk capital worth 0.038% of revenue, below the index median of 0.075%. Run your own network on the same engine and see which side of that you land on.

Calculate your ESCRC All sectors

ESCRC calculated using SciRisk ESCRC Model v5.4.2 · calibrated priors 2026.09-5
Company data as of 2026-06-30 · ESCRC calculated 2026-09-21 · dataset 2026.09-23 Beta

Simulation: 100,000 Monte Carlo paths · 95% confidence · 365-day horizon
Seed: 20260821 · regional correlation ρ = 0.35

SciRisk ESCRC is an analytical estimate generated using the SciRisk Economic Supply Chain Risk Capital methodology. It is not a credit rating, investment recommendation or statement of financial condition. Figures are model-implied and intended for screening and comparison, not as calibrated capital requirements.

Beta / preliminary dataset. Company inputs are analyst-curated from public annual reports and public supply-chain disclosure. ESCRC itself is computed by the production ESCRC engine — only the INPUTS on this page are preliminary.