Automotive

10 companies in the SciRisk 100. Median Risk Capital Intensity 0.083% — 1.1x the index median.

Companies

Aggregate ESCRC

$2.24bn

Average ESCRC

$224.3m

Median ESCRC

$130.4m

Median intensity

0.083%

Sector revenue

$2tn

Aggregate ESCRC is the sum of independently-calculated company-level ESCRC estimates. It should not be interpreted as unique system-wide (or sector-wide) supply-chain risk capital: company supply-chain exposures overlap — many suppliers in this dataset appear in more than one company's network — and the model does not net out or de-duplicate that overlap when figures are summed.

ESCRC is the 95% one-year Value-at-Risk of supply-chain disruption loss, from SciRisk ESCRC Model v5.4.2. Bars are scaled to the index maximum. Change is ESCRC versus the 2026.09-22 publication (2026-09-19); a dash means the company is new to the index since then.
Rank	Company	Ticker	Country	Sector	RevenueUSD bn	ESCRCUSD m	ESCRC / Revenue%	Risk Grade	Change
1	Toyota Motor	7203.T	Japan	Automotive	274.0	861.3	0.314	SC5 Very High	▲ +55.5%
8	Volkswagen Group	VOW3.DE	Germany	Automotive	348.0	275.2	0.079	SC3 Moderate	▲ +33.0%
12	Hyundai Motor	005380.KS	South Korea	Automotive	125.0	232.4	0.186	SC4 High	▲ +107.4%
14	Honda Motor	7267.T	Japan	Automotive	137.0	190.0	0.139	SC4 High	▲ +20.4%
18	Mercedes-Benz Group	MBG.DE	Germany	Automotive	160.0	136.9	0.086	SC3 Moderate	▲ +36.3%
21	BMW Group	BMW.DE	Germany	Automotive	155.0	123.8	0.080	SC3 Moderate	▲ +28.9%
24	General Motors	GM	USA	Automotive	187.0	118.2	0.063	SC3 Moderate	▲ +19.0%
27	Stellantis	STLA	Netherlands	Automotive	200.0	110.0	0.055	SC2 Low	0.0%
29	Ford Motor	F	USA	Automotive	176.0	101.5	0.058	SC2 Low	▲ +18.1%
32	Tesla	TSLA	USA	Automotive	97.0	93.2	0.096	SC3 Moderate	▲ +0.2%

Risk Capital Intensity

Ranked by intensity rather than by ESCRC — a different ordering from the table above, which is the point of tracking both.

0.314%

0.186%

0.139%

0.096%

0.086%

0.080%

0.079%

0.063%

0.058%

0.055%

How does your supply chain compare with Automotive?

The median company in this sector carries risk capital worth 0.083% of revenue, 1.1 times the index median. Run your own network on the same engine and see which side of that you land on.

Calculate your ESCRC All sectors

ESCRC calculated using SciRisk ESCRC Model v5.4.2 · calibrated priors 2026.09-5
Company data as of 2026-06-30 · ESCRC calculated 2026-09-21 · dataset 2026.09-23 Beta

Simulation: 100,000 Monte Carlo paths · 95% confidence · 365-day horizon
Seed: 20260821 · regional correlation ρ = 0.35

SciRisk ESCRC is an analytical estimate generated using the SciRisk Economic Supply Chain Risk Capital methodology. It is not a credit rating, investment recommendation or statement of financial condition. Figures are model-implied and intended for screening and comparison, not as calibrated capital requirements.

Beta / preliminary dataset. Company inputs are analyst-curated from public annual reports and public supply-chain disclosure. ESCRC itself is computed by the production ESCRC engine — only the INPUTS on this page are preliminary.