SciRisk Calculate your ESCRC
As of 2026-06-30| Model v5.5.1| Priors 2026.09-6| Calculated 2026-09-22| 100,000 paths · 95% · 365d| BETA Methodology

SciRisk 100 · Technology Hardware · Rank 34 of 100

Sony Group

6758.T · Japan · Technology Hardware   SC4 High

Economic Supply Chain Risk Capital
$91.4m
95% one-year Value-at-Risk · interval $90.4m to $92.2m (2.0% wide)
Risk Capital Intensity
0.108%
of $85.0bn revenue · rank #30 of 100
Global rank
#34
of 100 by ESCRC
Sector rank
#5
of 10 in Technology Hardware
Expected Shortfall
$120.4m
Mean loss beyond ESCRC
Expected annual loss
$26.3m
Ordinary year
Revenue / COGS
85.0 / 60.0
USD bn · gross margin 29%
Suppliers modelled
15
3 correlated geographies

What does this ESCRC number mean?

An ESCRC of $91.4m is the estimated economic supply-chain risk capital requirement generated by the SciRisk ESCRC model for Sony Group under the stated assumptions: a 365-day horizon, 100,000 simulated years, and the 95% tail of the resulting loss distribution. Beyond that threshold the average loss — the Expected Shortfall — is $120.4m; in an ordinary year the expected loss is $26.3m.

Value-at-Risk: the portfolio loss not exceeded with the chosen confidence level. Read as the ESCRC risk capital — the loss the firm should be prepared to absorb in a bad year. Model-implied and intended for screening and ranking, not a calibrated capital figure.

Supply Chain Risk Capital Profile

Where the risk capital comes from. Every column is a production-engine output for this network — nothing is inferred.

By tier

Tier 1
81%
Tier 2
15%
Tier 3
3%

Share of summed standalone VaR. Deeper tiers are attenuated by the engine's echelon buffer factors and capped by flow conservation.

By supplier geography

Taiwan
26%
South Korea
22%
China
19%
Japan
19%
USA
13%

Major-event risk is correlated within a geography group (rho = 0.35), so concentration here compounds.

By supplier industry

semiconductor
60%
electronics assembly
38%
general mfg
2%

Buckets are the calibrated-priors industry classes that set each supplier's minor-event rate.

Largest supplier share
23%
TSMC
Top-3 concentration
54%
of summed standalone VaR
Tier-1 share of risk
81%
Direct suppliers
Diversification benefit
64.1%
vs. sum of standalone VaR
SupplierTierCountry ExposureUSD m Standalone VaRUSD m Expected lossUSD m Tail intensityrevenue-days RoESCRCx
TSMCImage-sensor logic wafers T1 Taiwan 3600 59.2 5.8 4.2 24.9
FoxconnConsole/camera assembly T1 China 7200 44.9 5.4 1.6 65.7
AMDConsole SoC T1 USA 4200 34.3 2.4 2.1 50.2
Samsung ElectronicsDRAM/NAND T1 South Korea 3000 25.7 2.5 2.2 47.9
Shin-Etsu ChemicalSilicon wafers 300mm T2 Japan 1800 17.8 1.8 4.2 24.9
MurataCapacitors/filters T1 Japan 1800 15.2 1.8 2.2 48.5
LG DisplayDisplay panels T1 South Korea 2400 15.0 1.8 1.6 65.7
SK HynixDRAM for PlayStation 5 T2 South Korea 1500 7.7 0.8 2.2 47.9
Samsung DisplayQD-OLED display panels for Bravia TVs (e.g. A95L) T1 South Korea 1200 7.5 0.9 1.6 65.7
Nitto DenkoOptical films T2 Japan 1200 6.1 0.7 2.2 48.5
AU OptronicsLCD TV panels for Bravia T2 Taiwan 900 4.6 0.5 2.2 48.5
SumcoSilicon wafers T3 Japan 900 4.4 0.4 4.2 24.9
KioxiaNAND flash for PlayStation 5 SSD T3 Japan 900 4.4 0.4 4.2 24.9
GoertekContract manufacturing of PS5 consoles and PSVR/PSVR2 headsets T1 China 900 4.4 0.5 1.3 83.1
Largan PrecisionCamera lens modules T2 Taiwan 600 3.0 0.4 2.2 48.5

Scenario Analysis — coming in Phase 2

Recovery-time, supplier-diversification, inventory and geographic-diversification scenarios for Sony Group are not part of this release. The ESCRC Calculator already supports what-if analysis on a network you build yourself.

Sector peers

Nearest-ranked companies in Technology Hardware. Sony Group is highlighted.

Open in Compare
RankCompanyTickerCountrySectorRevenueUSD bnESCRCUSD mESCRC / Revenue%Risk GradeChange
20 Dell Technologies DELL USA Technology Hardware 88.0 125.9 0.143 SC4 High 0.0%
34 Sony Group 6758.T Japan Technology Hardware 85.0 91.4 0.108 SC4 High 0.0%
36 Lenovo 0992.HK China Technology Hardware 57.0 76.4 0.134 SC4 High 0.0%
41 Xiaomi 1810.HK China Technology Hardware 51.0 70.0 0.137 SC4 High 0.0%
48 Cisco Systems CSCO USA Technology Hardware 54.0 55.7 0.103 SC4 High 0.0%
51 LG Electronics 066570.KS South Korea Technology Hardware 65.0 50.3 0.077 SC3 Moderate 0.0%

See this for your own supply chain

You are looking at Sony Group's supply-chain risk capital: $91.4m against $85.0bn of revenue, driven mostly by TSMC and Taiwan. The calculator runs the same engine on a network you build yourself.

ESCRC calculated using SciRisk ESCRC Model v5.5.1 · calibrated priors 2026.09-6
Company data as of 2026-06-30 · ESCRC calculated 2026-09-22 · dataset 2026.09-23 Beta
Simulation
100,000 Monte Carlo paths · 95% confidence · 365-day horizon
Seed
20260821 · regional correlation ρ = 0.35
Input basis
Curated network, calibrated-prior parameters
Input fingerprint
5c4294b5d3e9
Input provenance for Sony Group
Financials
Curated from the company's most recent reported full financial year, as filed.
Network
Curated from company supplier disclosure; purchase volumes declared as a share of reported COGS.
Parameters
lambda1/lambda2 = calibrated ESCRC priors 2026.09-6 bucket defaults; r1/r2 = median of the shipped production preset networks within the same industry x geography cell when that cell has enough independent data, else the same industry-only bucket median, or (for industries with no preset supplier coverage) a directly-cited external recovery-event duration where one was found; ic = the same preset-network median (no external benchmark exists for this parameter for any industry). All three clamped into externally-cited recovery-time/BI-loss bounds per field.
SciRisk ESCRC is an analytical estimate generated using the SciRisk Economic Supply Chain Risk Capital methodology. It is not a credit rating, investment recommendation or statement of financial condition. Figures are model-implied and intended for screening and comparison, not as calibrated capital requirements.

Beta / preliminary dataset. Company inputs are analyst-curated from public annual reports and public supply-chain disclosure. ESCRC itself is computed by the production ESCRC engine — only the INPUTS on this page are preliminary.